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SATURDAY AFTERNOON BASEBALL LEAGUE "Ding Dong…that pitch is DEAD!"

Pitching Analysis 2012 WS Pitchers

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As I did with the batters in my last post, we’ll examine now pitchers for Detroit and San Francisco.

First the Raw data

Name cPvA vs LHB cPvL IR OR HGO HFO HB 1b (2-H) 1b SGO Deep? K 1b HFO SGO 2B WALK HFO GO vs RHB cPvR IR OR HGO HFO HB 1b (2-H) 1b SGO Deep? K 1b HFO SGO 2B WALK HFO GO
Verlander, Justin 108.231 80 104.912 44 23 42 15 0 7 7 14 2 161 15 15 15 26 25 20 28 87 111.55 45 22 32 17 8 16 16 18 0 137 33 17 17 3 19 23 36
Fister,Doug 132.157 102 129.384 48 21 47 14 4 17 17 17 14 110 33 14 16 35 0 19 33 108 134.93 61 12 64 7 10 16 16 19 5 98 30 7 19 0 46 11 38
Bumgarner, Madison 98.596 56 84.258 51 19 38 14 0 11 11 19 18 157 20 14 19 1 13 17 37 82 112.93 47 21 48 13 6 12 12 15 39 113 24 13 15 20 14 17 30
Cain, Matt 106.994 132 158.99 43 24 27 14 3 16 16 13 15 118 32 14 13 25 43 18 25 26 54.998 35 29 46 28 9 3 3 17 33 117 5 28 18 15 0 38 35
Vogelsong, Ryan 130.937 124 148.79 40 26 35 16 0 14 14 12 20 113 28 16 13 21 47 20 24 88 113.08 47 21 41 19 14 12 12 22 12 84 23 19 22 22 19 27 43
Hensley, Clay 185.449 145 170.747 47 21 93 0 16 18 18 0 46 91 35 0 0 0 74 0 0 175 200.15 49 20 0 17 4 15 15 21 0 71 29 17 21 26 90 22 42
Valverde, Jose 124.300 121 144.55 33 30 0 43 0 13 13 24 0 33 24 43 25 23 48 58 49 80 104.05 39 26 54 19 27 9 9 14 0 114 16 19 14 21 25 24 29

The old way of doing things was to just take a calculator and add up all the numbers on a pitcher’s card that resulted in a hit.  Justin Verlander’s 2012 card would have him listed as a 80/87.  Those are the numbers of a number 1 starting pitcher.  Sounds straight forward.

But what about the deep drive numbers?  What about infield and outfield range numbers?  Don’t those give the offense the opportunity to reach base as well?   Of course they do!

So now I’ve introduced cPvL/cPvR & cPvA.  These new ratings give a more accurate assessment of what a pitcher’s true numbers are by taking in to account the number of range plays & deep drive numbers listed on the card.

So lets take another look at Justin Verlander.  He was an 80/87.  Now with the new cPvL/cPvR his true numbers would be 104.9/111.55.

Look at that 25 more numbers vs Left-handed pitching & 24.5 added vs Right-handed pitching.

Is a 105/112 really #1 starter caliber?

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Written by Dom

October 26, 2012 at 6:56 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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